NBHC had broadly concluded that in the year 2018-19

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NBHC had broadly concluded that in the year 2018-19 National Bulk Handling Corporation (NBHC) has come out with its final report on Rabi crop estimate for the year 2018-19 where it has stated that scanty rainfall hasresulted in significant fall in sowing areas of major crops in states of Gujarat, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Tamil Nadu. 

It stated in its report released on Monday that wheat production is expected to increase marginally by 0.64% over last estimate amidst reports of higher yield in Northern India but would still be lower by 4.39% over last year mainly because of drop in sowing in drought-hit Maharashtra and Gujarat, as well as West Bengal. The NBHC report added that pulses production is projected to drop further by 1.34% over last estimate mainly due to 10.85% drop in the total gram production, which constitutes about 70% of the total Rabi Pulses. Gram production is expected to decline further 0.37% over the last estimate mainly due to fall in Madhya Pradesh and drought-hit states of Maharashtra and Karnataka. 

Mustard production is expected improve further by 0.30% than last estimate to 8.72 million metric tonne, an overall increase of 4.78% over last year due to favourable weather condition resulting in higher yields in major producing states. 

The rainfall during the June-September monsoon season in the country was ‘below normal’ and quantitatively 91 per cent of the long period average. The problem of moisture stress on the Rabi crops by 4 per cent. 

In their first estimate, NBHC had broadly concluded that in the year 2018-19, the production of total cereal, pulses and oilseeds are expected to decline by 9.72 per cent, 10.12 per cent and 3.79 per cent over 2017-18. In the current assessment, the Pulses and oil seed have marginally pushed themselves further in the negative region with an expected decline of 1.34 per cent and 1.59 per cent over the last estimate. 

For the year 2018-19, as Scanty rainfall resulted in significant fall in sowing areas of major crops in states of Gujarat, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Tamil Nadu. Wheat production is expected to increase marginally by 0.64 per cent over last estimate amidst reports of higher yield in Northern India but would still be lower by 4.39 per cent over last year mainly because of drop in sowing in drought-hit Maharashtra and Gujarat, as well as West Bengal. Rice production is expected to fall further by 0.19 per cent over last estimate leading to overall decline of 29.04 per cent over last year due to a drop in rice cultivation in Tamil Nadu, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh. Maize and Jowar production is expected to decline further by 4.53 per cent and 0.14 per cent respectively over last estimate leading to overall fall in production by about 28.77 per cent and 43.16 per cent respectively over last year. Pulses production is projected to drop further by 1.34 per cent to 14.28 million MT than last estimate of 14.48 million MT, which is 10.12 per cent lower than last year’s production of 15.89 million MT. This is mainly due to 10.85 per cent drop in the gram production, which constitutes about 70 per cent of the total Rabi Pulses. Gram production is expected to decline further 0.37 per cent over the last estimate mainly due to fall in Madhya Pradesh and drought-hit states of Maharashtra and Karnataka. Urad and Moong are also expected to decline by 0.74 per cent and 0.65 per cent respectively over the last estimate. 

Total oilseeds production is estimated to be 9.92 million MT, which is about 0.21 per cent lower than the last estimate mainly because of groundnut production, which has been seriously hit by adverse weather conditions, particularly in Gujarat. Groundnut, Safflower, Sunflower and Linseed production is expected to decline 5.05 per cent, 0.19 per cent, 0.18 per cent and 0.45 per cent respectively over last estimate. Mustard production is expected improve further by 0.30 per cent than last estimate to 8.72 million MT – an overall increase of 4.78 per cent over last year due to favorable weather condition resulting in higher yields in major producing states.

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By BOA Bureau